Polling, even using the same question, can show systematic differences between different polling organisations and sponsors. Polling conducted before the 2014 Scottish independence referendum can be found here.. The YouGov polling for The Times also suggests widespread public dissatisfaction with the government's economic plan. ((__lxGc__=window.__lxGc__||{'s':{},'b':0})['s']['_222513']=__lxGc__['s']['_222513']||{'b':{}})['b']['_680898']={'i':__lxGc__.b++}; Never miss the day's key interactions and exchanges in parliament. View our Privacy PolicyandTerms & Conditions, TheLondonEconomic.com Open, accessible and accountable news, sport, culture and lifestyle. The YouGov poll released on Monday night put the lead for the no campaign at six points, down from 14 points in the middle of August and 22 points early last month. Latest opinion polls news, commentary and analysis, including political and voting intention polls, by polling companies including YouGov, Ipsos MORI and Survation. Get the day's top headlines delivered to your inbox. For Women Scotland, conducted by Panelbase, reported in the Times, 18 Dec 2021Data, MurrayBlackburnMackenzie, conducted by Survation, Nov 2021Report I Data. YOUGOV has recorded a boost in Scottish independence support, with backing for Yes up four points in its latest polling. All rights reserved. Savanta ComRes said that the poll result "should not be treated as a headline Savanta ComRes voting intention". Early 2021. Critics pointed out that the survey contained many in the 24 to 49-year-old age bracket. We will not share your email address with any third parties. But we can't do it without you. The latest YouGov poll, of 1,088 voters in Scotland from January 23 to January 26, found that Sturgeons approval rating had slipped into negative territory, from +7 to -4, since October. In the midst of the coronavirus pandemic, one in which the Scottish government took responsibility for the handling of the virus in Scotland, there were signs of sustained backing for Scottish independence for the first time. The voting intention was not weighted by likelihood to vote. Voting intention in the United Kingdom 2017-2023. Savanta (23 February) which placed Labour on 45%, the Conservatives on 31%, and the Liberal Democrats on 9%. Since you are here, we wanted to ask for your help. LONDON, Sept 10 (Reuters) - Support for British Prime Minister Boris Johnson's Conservative party has slipped behind the opposition Labour party to its lowest level since the 2019 national. Welcome to my summary of the latest national voting intention poll from each pollster currently operating in Britain. Britain Elects. Rather than experience a new prime ministerial bounce, in September 2022, the picture was not positive for Liz Truss. Back to 1970s., BlackRock Throgmorton Trust Impressive run continues, Police arrest fugitive suspected of stabbing mother and daughter to death, EU workers contribute 2,300 more in taxes than the average Brit, EuroMillions Results for Friday 24 June 2022 Tonights winning numbers, Domestic abuse calls up 25% in coronavirus lockdown charity, International press document Britains Brexit bregret, World War II paratrooper says Brexit is breaking his heart on his 100th birthday. It found that the yes vote was ahead in only one age group, amongst 25-to-39-year-olds, while in all others no. Polling conducted before the 2014 Scottish independence referendum can be found here. Don't miss out! In the case of Scotland, Politics.co.uk drew on the most recent Scottish voting intention polling data from Survation on 18 February. This Conservative poll lead coincided with the unusual event of a governing party winning a seat from the Opposition, as occurred in the May 2021 Hartlepool by-election. Please read our privacy policy and terms of use before signing up. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. Business & professional services. Support for the SNP, for Nicola Sturgeon and for Scottish independence has fallen sharply as the partys crisis over transgender rights deepens. CalMac warns of further disruption to ferry service due to lack of backup ferries, The ferry operator is facing frequent issues as it has to constantly repair the aging fleet which is blighted with problems due to the lack of back ups, Scottish lags misuse 4.1million taxpayer-funded mobile phones more than 7,000 times in three years, More than 4,082 inmates have been caught out for using mobile phones paid for by the taxpayers to commit crimes while in prison, Iconic Glasgow bakery Mortons Rolls 'ceases all trading' after 58 years. It was one of the biggest news stories of our. A Y A survey for YouGov gives the SNP a vote share of 36 per cent, with Labour on 33 per cent, the Conservatives on 19 with the Lib Dems just ahead of the Greens on seven and five per cent respectively. The above analysis of general election polls has been calculated through linear average equation modelling of the latest UK opinion polls of Westminster voting intention. The State of Nationalism in Scotland, detailed the previous responses from this survey by grouping options one and two as "independence", options three and four as "devolution" and option five as "No Parliament". Elsewhere, the Lib Dems have 9 per cent of the vote (-1), but could be well placed to pick up vital seats in the Blue Wall, where voters would sooner pinch their nose and vote amber over red. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. Although we'd had a YouGov earlier in February, that was for the Scottish Opinion Monitor (Scoop) and YouGov have since clarified the questions were slightly different and thus not comparable. The Conservatives have climbed by three percentage points to 33 per cent since the last poll. A YouGov poll for the Times, reported today, found that nearly 50% of voters in Scotland who plan to vote Tory are doing so primarily to prevent a pro-independence majority in Holyrood. Last updated Feb 28, 2023 View all Articles (514) Voting Intention: Con 23%, Labour 46% politics 1 day ago Trackers Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Voting Intention, tracking changes over time. This is the same constant level of dont knows that has been seen in most polls over the last 5 years. tax was introduced a year early in Scotland by the UK government. Some organisations have chosen to commission polls that adopt the remain / leave formulation that was used in the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum. Reform UK are also polling in the region of 6-7%. We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Scottish independence. When Johnson announced his resignation on July 7, 2022, YouGov polling showed Labour on 40% and the Tories on 29% an 11 point lead. Coming into the autumn, the Conservatives appeared to have suffered no adverse polling impacts from either their proposed rise in national insurance, or the autumn fuel shortages. In the early part of the 2010s, with a Conservative coalition government in Westminster, and with the SNP focused on holding an indepdence referendum in Scotland, support for Scottish independence grew further. The Conservative party regained a minor amount of ground in the first 3 weeks of the Rishi Sunak premiership, but Mr Sunaks honeymoon period has been short lived, and those advances stalled soon after Jeremy Hunts financial statement. Pollsters showed that Liberal Democrat voting intention during most of this Parliament has been constant at around the 9% mark with only temporary uplifts above this point. In the aftermath of the 2019 General Election, the Conservative party enjoyed a healthy lead in the opinion polls. Should the public's feeling remain largely down. We will not share your email address with any third parties. Only 44 per cent of those most likely to back the SNP said the same. The pollster found Labour on 50 per cent of the vote an increase of three points from their last poll. Redfield and Wilton (26 February) which placed Labour on 51%, the Conservatives on 24%, and the Liberal Democrts on 9%. Our current polling average is based on polls by Savanta ComRes (fieldwork completed May 4). Related: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. That's according to a new YouGov poll commissioned by WalesOnline to mark St David's Day 2023. . @britainelects. We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Voting Intention. They do not factor in the potential for further additional regional or constituency centric swings. The historic oil recipe is based on what was used at the coronation of Queen Elizabeth II, the formula of which has been used for hundreds of years. Labour would be nipping at their heels with 22 Scottish MPs, up from just one currently. The latest survey from YouGov has put Labour on 46% and the . On 23 November 2022, the UK Supreme Court ruled that the Scottish Parliament does not have the power to unilaterally hold an independence referendum without the consent of the Westminster Parliament. New projections based on YouGov polling suggest the Conservative Party could be reduced to the UKs fourth-biggest party at the next election. A band of rain, sleet and snow is expected to move south during Monday followed by frequent snow and hail showers, Ken Bruce leaves BBC with veiled jibe after they ended his show early over concerns was free advertising for a rival, The 72-year-old Glaswegian left Radio to join Greatest Hits Radio in April after the Beeb told him to step down 17 days early, Teaching strikes held off as union on brink of striking pay deal. ", Data in More than 5 years is amalgamation of 5 to 10 years and more than 10 years, Question asked was "Should the Scottish Government be allowed to hold an independence referendum next year? The latest Panelbase survey. % 28 45 9 4 1 3 7 2 Con Lab Lib Dem SNP This feed updates continuously 24/7 so check back regularly. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "In a referendum on independence for Scotland held tomorrow, how would you vote?" Where does the public really stand on womens rights and proposals to reform the Gender Recognition Act? Ben Walker is a senior data journalist at the New Statesman and writes extensively about elections and UK public opinion. Notable recent election polls independence? The TLE shop is also now open, with all profits going to supporting our work. Question Asked "Imagine the next Westminster Election was a de facto referendum on Scottish Independence If the Westminster Election was taking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from all political parties standing in your constituency, which party do you think you would vote for? Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. YouGov Westminster voting intention If there were a general election held tomorrow, which party would you vote for? Please ensure your password has at least 8 characters, an uppercase and a lowercase letter, and a number or symbol. The table also lists some events that may have impacted on polling returns, including the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, the Covid pandemic in Scotland and party leadership changes. We also may change the frequency you receive our emails from us in order to keep you up to date and give you the best relevant information possible. The Japanese midfielder was handed the February Player of the Month award. We use your sign-up to provide content in the ways you've consented to and improve our understanding of you. The poll was conducted for The Sunday Times over the past week as a review for the Scottish Prison Service found that the process of admitting transgender people to prisons should be improved in the wake of the Isla Bryson case. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted following Kwasi Kwarteng's 'mini-Budget'shows the Tories have taken a severe hit following the poor reception to the Growth Plan. Should a general election be held today, this would likely lead to the following composition of the House of Commons: The result of a general election is projected as a Labour victory with the party securing an outright majority of 46 seats. British Social Attitudes Survey 39, reported in The Times, 22 Sep 2022Full results I Chapter on Culture WarsMain findings: YouGov, May 2022Full report I DataMain findings: Equalities, Human Rights and Civil Justice Committee, Scottish Parliament, reported 23 May 2022, Wings Over Scotland, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 02 May 2022: Voting for people who hate you. A new Yahoo News/YouGov poll finds that Florida Gov. Subscribe to our email alert of the day's top stories from the UK and around the world.

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