Just 13% of Democrats have a favorable opinion of Cruz this week, compared to 11% last week and 12% the week prior. The Senators favorability rating dropped eight points among Republicans last week from 68% to 60%, but he has recovered four points (64%) this week. ORourke is the closest thing to a star in Texas Democratic politics, a tall and expressive former congressman from El Paso who built his reputation on a Kennedyesque ability to excite a crowd and an almost theatrically grassroots approach to retail politics. Stacey Abrams of Georgia, the Democrat to whom ORourke is most frequently compared, also lost a statewide election in 2018 and is now considering running for governor. Where are they? ORourke wondered aloud. Asked about this, he said, I could, with a wink and a nod, call myself a nonprofit, just engaged in nonpartisan voter registration, voter contact work. All Rights Reserved. The drop in the senator's approval follows his decision to leave Texas for a trip to Cancun, Mexico, while millions of Texans were without power and water amid severe winter weather conditions last week. Again, Cruz betters the president by 11 points. See Perks: https://www.youtube.com/TheYoungTurks/joinSUBSCRIBE on YOUTUBE: http://www.youtube.com/subscription_center?add_user=theyoungturksFACEBOOK: http://www.facebook.com/TheYoungTurksTWITTER: http://www.twitter.com/TheYoungTurksINSTAGRAM: http://www.instagram.com/TheYoungTurksTWITCH: http://www.twitch.com/tyt Merch: http://shoptyt.com Donate: http://www.tyt.com/go Website: https://www.tyt.comApp: http://www.tyt.com/app Newsletters: https://www.tyt.com/newsletters/Ifyou want to watch more videos from TYT, consider subscribing to other channels in our network:TheDamage Report https://www.youtube.com/thedamagereportTYTSports https://www.youtube.com/tytsportsTheConversation https://www.youtube.com/tytconversationRebelHQ https://www.youtube.com/rebelhqTYTInvestigates https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCwNJt9PYyN1uyw2XhNIQMMA#TYT #TheYoungTurks #BreakingNews210225__TB02TedCruz Respondents were asked, "How would you rate the job Ted Cruz is doing as U.S. This sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, and education based on the American Community Survey, conducted by the US Bureau of the Census, as well as 2016 Presidential vote, registration status, geographic region, and news interest. But none of those Democrats has the profile or fundraising record ORourke has. Disclosure: The University of Texas at Austin has been a financial supporter of The Texas Tribune, a nonprofit, nonpartisan news organization that is funded in part by donations from members, foundations and corporate sponsors. A deeper look at some of the trends behind the data. Respondents were asked, "How would you rate the job Ted Cruz is doing as U.S. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure. Phelan, R-Beaumont, isnt elected statewide and still remains a low-profile figure among Texans; 20% of Texas voters approve of the job hes doing, while 27% disapprove. Eighty-six percent of Democrats disapprove of the job he's doing. And Justice Kavanaugh hammered Joe Biden's Attorney General ", He added that he was in "constant communication with state and local leaders to get to the bottom of what happened in Texas.". Senator? As the pandemic drew on, Democratic disapproval of Abbott increased steadily. Would you say that you" Race is calculated according to the race variable. "Favorability of Congressman Ted Cruz among U.S. Few recent events . The one voter he registered was an 87-year-old woman named Natalie Esparza who was doing a crossword puzzle in her garage when ORourke came by. June 29, 20215 AM Central. Dave Carney, the Republican strategist who advises Abbott, said he hopes ORourke does run, calling ORourke unelectable in Texas. If ORourke does run and the result is not as close as it was in 2018, Cruz may not even have to worry about him running two years later. The senator leads by 3 points, on average, in polls taken this month. After failing to sink Justice Brett Kavanaugh's confirmation to the Supreme Court, Democrats really cranked up their attacks when they realized he would help deliver the ruling of their nightmares. Susan Collins is facing re-election next year, and views on her job performance have dimmed significantly over the first half of 2019. Sergio Flores/Getty Images, This gets at one notable evolution: Powered by People is a PAC, after ORourke swore off PAC money as a congressman and during his presidential campaign. Democrats, after picking up 12 state House seats in 2018, failed to make gains in the downballot races. Bush had an 89 percent approval rating. 4% nnScott, who was governor of Florida before entering the Senate in 2019, butted heads with McConnell throughout the 2022 midterm cycle." -14% He unsuccessfully tried to take leadership of the Senate Republicans last fall after he blamed McConnell for the party's underperformance in the midterm elections." I dont know that weve had anything like this., When he left, she said, at least hes doing the work., ORourke, she said, is a big hope for us., Beto O'Rourke canvasses a neighborhood in West Dallas, June 9, 2021. Percentage Ted Cruz Approval (February 2022) The Margin of Error for this Graphic is +/- 2.89% 21% 18% 13% 8% 35% 5% Approve strongly Approve somewhat Neither approve nor disapprove Disapprove somewhat Disapprove strongly Don't know 0 10 20 30 40 Source: February 2022 University of Texas/Texas Politics Project Poll Overall Party ID Trump is hugely popular with Nebraska Republicans his +77 net approval is the 10th highest level of GOP support for any state. During the march into Austin, the Tejano music legend Little Joe, who performed at fundraisers for ORourke in 2018 and who said that after ORourke lost, sometimes Id lay awake and ask what more I should have done embraced ORourke and addressed him as governor. The Rev. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. He washed his face in a lake. Sweat held a swath of graying hair to ORourkes forehead. . This suggests that as ORourke becomes more familiar to voters in the next couple of months, he may have more potential to win over undecided voters than Cruz does. 1. The poll, released Wednesday, found that 24 percent of voters approve of the Republican senator's job performance, while 49 percent disapprove. "This has been an infuriating week for Texans. On a daily basis, Morning Consult surveys over 5,000 registered voters across the United States. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great, Indicted U.S. Rep. Duncan Hunter, a California Republican who is, Just over half of voters said they disagreed with the statement that Trump has been honest and truthful when it comes to the investigation into Russian interference with the 2016 presidential election,, 58 percent of Americans favor a pathway to citizenship for immigrants who are currently living illegally in the U.S., while 32 percent oppose it, according to a, Americans are divided in how they feel toward Mexico, but two-thirds report having warm feelings toward Canada, according to. See terms - for PayPal Credit, opens in a new window or tab. | Still, not a single poll so far has shown ORourke ahead of Cruz. Each week, we will release a report with the most important findings on the 2020 election. Accessed March 04, 2023. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1201765/favorability-ted-cruz-us-adults/, YouGov. He assumed office on January 3, 2013. | O'Rourke . Jesse Jackson, who walked beside ORourke, said he wants ORourke to run, calling him my guy Hes a purifier. But the person behind it seems to have changed, perhaps significantly, as a result of the drubbing he took in the presidential campaign. The August 2022 University of Texas / Texas Politics Project poll has just been released, including extensive questioning on the 2022 elections, abortion, immigration, gun violence and much much more. Check out our 2018 House forecast and all the polls weve been collecting ahead of the midterms. Mario Cantu/Cal Sport Media via AP, The ideal way of organizing, campaigning, he said, is what were doing right now.. A paid subscription is required for full access. Even when hes not on the ballot, hes constantly working., Still, she said, Theres a certain calculus that needs to be addressed. Show us with your support. Historical data extends back as far as Morning Consult has tracked for each senator and is not displayed for those senators in their first term. There are times when ORourke sounds very much like a politician who has already decided to run. Ted Cruz is going to be fighting an uphill battle for the time being, as his recent little jaunt to Cancun has caused his approval rating to drop by 20 point. The M Logo and MORNING CONSULT are registered trademarks of Morning Consult Holdings, Inc. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. 2018 Election (360) Just over half the public had heard "a lot" about Cruz's abortive trip. Ted Cruz Approval (April 2022) Ted Cruz Approval (February 2022) Ted Cruz Approval (October 2021) Ted Cruz Approval (August 2021) Ted Cruz Approval (June 2021) Ted Cruz Approval (April 2021) Ted Cruz Approval (March 2021) Do you approve or disapprove of how Senator Ted Cruz has handled the response to the winter storm and its effects? Senator? Hosted by Cenk Uygur and Ana Kasparian. When filtered by partisanship, 88% of Democrats approve of the job he's doing, including 53% who strongly approve. And every Democrat in Texas is waiting for him to make up his mind. In that survey, conducted from January 9 to 18, 76 percent of Texas Republicans supported him. The Texas Politics Project just released the results of a March poll developed in conjunction with a team of researchers at the UT Energy Institute that asked dozens of questions about Texans experience during the winter storm, their attitudes toward causes and consequences of the storm, their views of, and expectations about, possible policy responses, and their views of how a wide range of actors from their neighbors and utility providers to state political leaders, regulatory bodies, and corporate actors. Many Democratic political professionals both inside and outside of Texas believe the prudent political choice for ORourke would be to sit the governors race out and wait to take on Cruz, a more polarizing figure than Abbott. The PayPal Credit account is issued by Synchrony Bank. In each poll, Americans indicated whether they approve or disapprove of the job performance of their U.S. senators. On average since 1990, they were off by about 8 points. Wanted to be a good dad, I flew down with them last night and am flying back this afternoon. Respondents were asked, "How would you rate the job Ted Cruz is doing as U.S. For only the second time in UT polling, but the second time in less than a year, a majority of Texas voters say that the state is on the wrong track. Access to this and all other statistics on 80,000 topics from, Show sources information Subject to credit approval. Would you say that you" Fundamentalism is calculated according to the LITERAL variable. I think in all cases, this is the power of negative partisanship and the influence that our negative attitudes towards the other party have on us, Blank said. 76 percent of Texas Republicans supported him. But an aide cautioned, One thing he is going to be sensitive about is making this about him.. President: general election, 2024 President:. Hinojosa said he has spoken with ORourke twice about the election, both times encouraging him to run. Patrick had a 36% total approval rating, and a 37% disapproval rating. (Thats a 41.5 percent approval rating and a 53.5 disapproval rating.) Why Valentina Shevchenko Is A Huge Favorite And Jon Jones Isnt At UFC 285, Aug. 31, 2018, The simplicity of that answer would be unremarkable except that its coming from ORourke, whose management of his last post-loss, pre-potential campaign period was so much less dignified. Respondents were asked, "How would you rate the job Ted Cruz is doing as U.S. Senator? Ana Kasparian and Cenk Uygur discuss on The Young Turks. He might not run. Nevertheless, it will be an uphill battle for Allred in a state that Joe Biden is unlikely to win in 2024 - Biden lost Texas by 5.5% to Trump in 2020 - meaning Cruz will have some leeway to run behind the top of the ticket yet still . If youd like to dive in further, weve also published the data behind this article, you can check it out on our data page or grab it from GitHub. The August polling averages were off by between 5 points and 14 points in any given year. Cornyns roots are in a very different Republican Party and if anything, Cornyn has had to adjust to a political party that evolved in a way that is much closer to the image and orientation of Ted Cruz than it was to the John Cornyn that first ran for office more than two decades ago, said James Henson, director of the Texas Politics Project. Original question: 'Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people? Republican disapproval runs especially high, with 89% saying they disapprove, including 82% who strongly disapprove. Can we clone him? asked Dora Oaxaca, chair of the Democratic Party in El Paso County, of ORourke. Felicia, ORourke said to Felicia Miyakawa, a volunteer organizer for the organization ORourke set up, Powered by People, weve had some dry runs before. Here are the five senators who perform best with Republicans in their state, relative to Trump: The GOP senators who have the lowest approval with home state Republicans relative to Trump are: Lisa Murkowski, Lamar Alexander, Cory Gardner, and Pat Toomey. Register in seconds and access exclusive features. Its bigger than him.. A group of House Republicans in September filed articles of impeachment against Biden over his handling of the immigration crisis as well as the US military withdrawal from Afghanistan. Ted Cruz or Lindsey Graham) have in cycles past. [Online]. Texas Senator Ted Cruz's approval rating took a major hit following last week's Cancun trip fiasco, according to a Yahoo/YouGov poll. Hes been doing some version of this voter registration work ever since he dropped out of the Democratic presidential primary in 2019. Ted Cruz and John Cornyn, Lt. Gov. A lot of the presidential campaign circuit is unfortunately, you know, theres just a lot of staged events where youre literally on a stage, like were going to be in Detroit and speak to this national conference or were going to be in Pittsburgh and were going to talk to this association or were going to go to D.C. and were going to talk to this group of people along with every other presidential candidate, you know, five minutes a pop, and then you exit the stage and the next person comes on, ORourke said. We aren't publishing updates for now. In the unfolding pandemic, economic crisis and reckoning on race, governors and mayors are shaping our shared future. Since you asked, we calculated the average of polls for each individual race, then filtered out any race that didnt have at least three polls (as this Texas race does). GOP Senators Josh Hawley and Ted Cruz have seen their approval ratings drop among voters, including Republicans, in their home states following the U.S. Capitol riot on January 6.. Hawley, who is . Cicadas hummed overhead. Download Fastest Growing Brands 2022 Report. Gavin Rogers, a minister from San Antonio who was wearing a white robe and maroon Vans, said that sometimes the best thing to do might be run and lose, if its best for the movement. And when the march reached the capitol for a rally with country music icon Willie Nelson, ORourke looked out at a lawn specked with supporters still wearing Be Beto and Beto for Texas T-shirts from his previous campaigns. So the Quinnipiac poll did show that Greg Abbott's approval numbers for his job rating have gotten better. See the toplines and crosstabs from this Economist/YouGov poll, Methodology: The Economist survey was conducted by YouGov using a nationally representative sample of 1,500 US Adult Citizens interviewed online between February 27 - March 2, 2021. Is it time to start betting on a Democrat in Texas? Would you say that you" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle."